Friday, November 16, 2012

Watch Gaza; Not Iran

Why the sudden outburst of violence between Israel and Gaza? Hamas in Gaza has been lobbing missiles at the border communities of Israel for years and every so often, Israel retaliates. Why the sudden heat and rapid escalation? Where are these long range missiles coming from? How did Hamas get the missiles or the technology to build them? This is like watching a magician's sleight of hand. Watch the Gaza turmoil...
 
It is not unknown that Hamas is a client of Iran, as is Hezbollah. The elections are over and a there is an electorate  endorsed policy statement by President Obama that Iran will be stopped in their progress towards nuclear arms. Iran's economy is suffering the consequences of a successful embargo that has devalued the currency by 40% and significantly restricted oil sales. What is a country to do?
 
Iran has been in need of a diversion that will distract from the current economic pressures and also restrain Israel from threatening an attack on their nuclear facilities. Yes, you heard it here first. It only makes sense that the current escalation is an Hamas proxy war with Israel serving the interests of Iran. Hamas surely cannot win in this scenario.  Israel is left with little choice other than to take out Hamas. That means the major strategic military action by Israel,  which is apparently mobilizing.
 
It is the opinion of this writer, that if there is a military incursion by Israel to take out Hamas, Hezbollah will open the second front in Northern Israel. That is how it went in 2006. We will then have the specter of Syria at war with itself and Israel at war on two fronts. All to the advantage of securing Iran from immediate political and military negative attention. Lets all hope that Israel is well prepared for this and can bring the crisis to heel quickly. And if Iran is the puppet-master in this crisis? Lets not forget Iran.